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Industrial Policy · 2 May 2026 · 7 min read

The next generation of industrial policy in emerging markets

Industrial policy is back on the agenda. The question is no longer whether to intervene, but how to design instruments that survive contact with firms.

From protection to capability

The credibility of industrial policy now rests on capability building: skills, standards, infrastructure and supplier ecosystems rather than protection.

Design for firm behaviour

Instruments work when they change what a firm actually does. That requires understanding decision economics at firm level — margins, financing constraints and customer requirements.

Governance decides outcomes

Clear mandates, transparent selection, and monitoring tied to results separate effective programmes from expensive ones.

Measurement as discipline

Results frameworks should track intermediate capability indicators, not only jobs and investment totals, so that course correction is possible mid-programme.

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